Flyweight
3 Rounds
Edgar Chairez won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 28, 2026·Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico, Mexico
Model Prediction: Edgar Chairez wins(53.1%)
Actual result: Edgar Chairez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Edgar Chairez
Red Corner
VS
Felipe Bunes
Blue Corner
-270
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+220
(31%)
30
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'7"
180.34 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Edgar Chairez
oldest →latest
L
vs Tatsuro Taira · Jul 23W
SUBvs Daniel Lacerda · Feb 24L
vs Joshua Van · Sep 24W
SUBvs CJ Vergara · Mar 25Felipe Bunes
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Joshua Van · Jan 24W
SUBvs Jose Johnson · Jan 25L
vs Rafael Estevam · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Edgar ChairezMetricFelipe Bunes
3.65
Strikes / min
3.17
4.75
Strikes absorbed / min
4.57
46%
Strike defense
47%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.08
38%
Takedown defense
40%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
1.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.10evenly matched on net striking-1.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Edgar ChairezFelipe Bunes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Edgar Chairez(5 fights)Felipe Bunes(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.3-14.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+126.0-126.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Edgar Chairez
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights5
Felipe Bunes
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights4