Welterweight
3 Rounds
Hector Urbina won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, November 15, 2014·Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico, Mexico
Model Prediction: Edgar Garcia wins(60.1%)
Actual result: Hector Urbina wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Hector Urbina threatens submissions; Edgar Garcia has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Edgar Garcia has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Edgar Garcia
Red Corner
VS
Hector Urbina
Blue Corner
-160
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+150
(40%)
42
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'11"
180.34 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Edgar Garcia
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Sheldon Westcott · Jan 16Hector UrbinaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Bartosz Fabinski · Nov 15L
KOvs Vicente Luque · Sep 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Edgar GarciaMetricHector Urbina
3.16
Strikes / min
0.97
4.23
Strikes absorbed / min
2.44
60%
Strike defense
39%
2.21
TDs / 15 min
0.00
50%
Takedown defense
38%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
3.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.07evenly matched on net striking-1.47
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Edgar GarciaHector Urbina
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Edgar Garcia(2 fights)Hector Urbina(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Edgar Garcia
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights2
Hector Urbina
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights3