Featherweight
3 Rounds
Bryce Mitchell won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 5, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupEdson Barboza: Pressure fightervsBryce Mitchell: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Bryce Mitchell wins(53.4%)
Actual result: Bryce Mitchell wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Edson Barboza enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Edson Barboza has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Bryce Mitchell (53.5%).
- Edson Barboza has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Edson Barboza
Red Corner
VS
Bryce Mitchell
Blue Corner
+150
(40%)
Vegas Odds
-170
(63%)
40
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
5'10"
190.5 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Edson BarbozaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Apr 23W
vs Sodiq Yusuff · Oct 23L
vs Lerone Murphy · May 24L
vs Drakkar Klose · Aug 25L
KOvs Jalin Turner · Dec 25Bryce Mitchell
oldest →latest
W
vs Dan Ige · Sep 23L
KOvs Josh Emmett · Dec 23W
KOvs Kron Gracie · Dec 24L
SUBvs Jean Silva · Apr 25W
vs Said Nurmagomedov · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Edson BarbozaMetricBryce Mitchell
4.14
Strikes / min
2.27
4.68
Strikes absorbed / min
1.60
55%
Strike defense
58%
0.43
TDs / 15 min
3.24
73%
Takedown defense
33%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.54Δ 1.21 — meaningful gap+0.67
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Edson BarbozaBryce Mitchell
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Edson Barboza(10 fights)Bryce Mitchell(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-6.46.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-301.0301.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Edson Barboza
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights32
Bryce Mitchell
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights12