Lightweight
3 Rounds
Jamie Varner won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, May 26, 2012·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupEdson Barboza: Pressure fightervsJamie Varner: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Edson Barboza wins(57.8%)
Actual result: Jamie Varner wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Edson Barboza enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jamie Varner enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Edson Barboza has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Edson Barboza
Red Corner
VS
Jamie Varner
Blue Corner
-540
(84%)
Vegas Odds
+460
(18%)
40
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'8"
190.5 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Edson BarbozaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Apr 23W
vs Sodiq Yusuff · Oct 23L
vs Lerone Murphy · May 24L
vs Drakkar Klose · Aug 25L
KOvs Jalin Turner · Dec 25Jamie VarnerL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Melvin Guillard · Dec 12L
vs Gleison Tibau · Aug 13L
KOvs Abel Trujillo · Feb 14L
KOvs James Krause · May 14L
SUBvs Drew Dober · Dec 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Edson BarbozaMetricJamie Varner
4.14
Strikes / min
2.92
4.68
Strikes absorbed / min
2.55
55%
Strike defense
58%
0.43
TDs / 15 min
3.49
73%
Takedown defense
66%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.54evenly matched on net striking+0.37
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Edson BarbozaJamie Varner
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Edson Barboza(10 fights)Jamie Varner(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+69.2-69.2
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-47.847.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Edson Barboza
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights32
Jamie Varner
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights7