Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Edson Barboza enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Edson Barboza has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Edson BarbozaL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Sodiq Yusuff · Oct 23L
vs Lerone Murphy · May 24L
vs Drakkar Klose · Aug 25L
KOvs Jalin Turner · Dec 25L
KOvs Esteban Ribovics · Aug 26 Paul FelderL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Charles Oliveira · Dec 17L
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Nov 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Edson BarbozaMetricPaul Felder
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.54evenly matched on net striking+0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Edson BarbozaPaul Felder
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Edson Barboza(10 fights)Paul Felder(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +68.5|Blue -68.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -41.0|Blue +41.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Edson BarbozaTargetPaul Felder
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Edson Barboza edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:00
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:45Control
Round 2Edson Barboza edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns1
Control1:29
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:45Control
Round 3Paul Felder edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:21
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:33Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
