Lightweight
3 Rounds
Paul Felder won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 7, 2019·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupEdson Barboza: Pressure fightervsPaul Felder: Striker
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Paul Felder wins(59.6%)
Actual result: Paul Felder wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Edson Barboza enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Edson Barboza has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Edson Barboza
Red Corner
VS
Paul Felder
Blue Corner
-120
(55%)
Vegas Odds
+100
(50%)
40
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'11"
190.5 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Edson BarbozaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Apr 23W
vs Sodiq Yusuff · Oct 23L
vs Lerone Murphy · May 24L
vs Drakkar Klose · Aug 25L
KOvs Jalin Turner · Dec 25Paul FelderL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Charles Oliveira · Dec 17L
vs Mike Perry · Jul 18W
vs James Vick · Feb 19L
vs Dan Hooker · Feb 20L
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Nov 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Edson BarbozaMetricPaul Felder
4.14
Strikes / min
3.70
4.68
Strikes absorbed / min
3.44
55%
Strike defense
48%
0.43
TDs / 15 min
0.29
73%
Takedown defense
64%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.54evenly matched on net striking+0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Edson BarbozaPaul Felder
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Edson Barboza(10 fights)Paul Felder(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+10.6-10.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-41.041.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Edson Barboza
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights32
Paul Felder
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights15