Lightweight
3 Rounds
Edson Barboza won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, July 6, 2013·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupEdson Barboza: Pressure fightervsRafaello Oliveira: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Edson Barboza wins(63.8%)
Actual result: Edson Barboza wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Edson Barboza enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Edson Barboza is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Rafaello Oliveira has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Edson Barboza has 62pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Edson Barboza has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Edson Barboza
Red Corner
VS
Rafaello Oliveira
Blue Corner
-600
(86%)
Vegas Odds
+500
(17%)
40
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'8"
190.5 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Edson BarbozaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Apr 23W
vs Sodiq Yusuff · Oct 23L
vs Lerone Murphy · May 24L
vs Drakkar Klose · Aug 25L
KOvs Jalin Turner · Dec 25Rafaello Oliveira
oldest →latest
L
vs Andre Winner · Mar 10L
SUBvs Gleison Tibau · May 11L
KOvs Yves Edwards · Oct 11W
vs Yoislandy Izquierdo · Jul 12L
KOvs Erik Koch · Feb 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Edson BarbozaMetricRafaello Oliveira
4.14
Strikes / min
2.19
4.68
Strikes absorbed / min
3.38
55%
Strike defense
59%
0.43
TDs / 15 min
2.49
73%
Takedown defense
11%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.54evenly matched on net striking-1.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Edson BarbozaRafaello Oliveira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Edson Barboza(10 fights)Rafaello Oliveira(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+93.6-93.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-196.0196.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Edson Barboza
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights32
Rafaello Oliveira
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights6