Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Francisco Rivera won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, February 2, 2013·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Edwin Figueroa wins(62.1%)
Actual result: Francisco Rivera wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Francisco Rivera enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Francisco Rivera has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Francisco Rivera has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Edwin Figueroa
Red Corner
VS
Francisco Rivera
Blue Corner
+275
(27%)
Vegas Odds
-305
(75%)
41
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'8"
175.26 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Edwin FigueroaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Michael McDonald · Mar 11W
KOvs Jason Reinhardt · Aug 11W
vs Alex Caceres · Feb 12L
vs Roland Delorme · Jun 13L
vs Erik Perez · Nov 13Francisco RiveraL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Urijah Faber · Dec 14W
KOvs Alex Caceres · Jun 15L
SUBvs John Lineker · Sep 15L
vs Brad Pickett · Feb 16L
vs Erik Perez · Jul 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Edwin FigueroaMetricFrancisco Rivera
2.57
Strikes / min
4.07
3.06
Strikes absorbed / min
3.16
51%
Strike defense
68%
0.20
TDs / 15 min
1.01
37%
Takedown defense
68%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.49Δ 1.40 — meaningful gap+0.91
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Edwin FigueroaFrancisco Rivera
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Edwin Figueroa(6 fights)Francisco Rivera(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.9-15.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+101.0-101.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Edwin Figueroa
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights6
Francisco Rivera
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10