Alexander HernandezvsDiego Ferreira

UFC Event · Saturday, September 13, 2025 · San Antonio, Texas, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Diego Ferreira wins(55.8%)

Actual result: Alexander Hernandez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Incorrect

Tale of the Tape

Alexander Hernandez

Red Corner

Diego Ferreira

Blue Corner

+100

(50%)

Vegas Odds

-118

(54%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'9"

182.88 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

4.3

Sig. Strikes

4.7

1.1

Takedowns

0.8

0.1

Sub Attempts

0.6

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

-16.316.3

RedLayoff (days)Blue

-210.0210.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

+0.8-0.8

RedStriker ScoreBlue

-0.40.4

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-0.10.1

Alexander Hernandez

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights17

Diego Ferreira

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights17