Lightweight
3 Rounds
Charles Oliveira won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Wednesday, September 15, 2010·Austin, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupEfrain Escudero: Well-roundedvsCharles Oliveira: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Efrain Escudero wins(57.2%)
Actual result: Charles Oliveira wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Efrain Escudero has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Efrain Escudero
Red Corner
VS
Charles Oliveira
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+145
(41%)
40
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Efrain EscuderoL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Leonardo Santos · Sep 14W
vs Rodrigo de Lima · Feb 15W
SUBvs Drew Dober · Jun 15L
vs Leandro Silva · Nov 15L
vs Kevin Lee · Apr 16Charles OliveiraW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Arman Tsarukyan · Apr 24W
vs Michael Chandler · Nov 24L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Jun 25W
SUBvs Mateusz Gamrot · Oct 25W
vs Max Holloway · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Efrain EscuderoMetricCharles Oliveira
2.92
Strikes / min
3.23
2.30
Strikes absorbed / min
3.05
63%
Strike defense
48%
1.31
TDs / 15 min
2.29
66%
Takedown defense
54%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
2.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.62evenly matched on net striking+0.18
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Efrain EscuderoCharles Oliveira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Efrain Escudero(9 fights)Charles Oliveira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-1.01.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+64.0-64.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Efrain Escudero
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights9
Charles Oliveira
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights36