Lightweight
3 Rounds
Kevin Lee won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 23, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupEfrain Escudero: Well-roundedvsKevin Lee: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Kevin Lee wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Kevin Lee wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kevin Lee enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Efrain Escudero has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Kevin Lee has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Efrain Escudero
Red Corner
VS
Kevin Lee
Blue Corner
+300
(25%)
Vegas Odds
-360
(78%)
40
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'9"
180.34 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Efrain Escudero
oldest →latest
L
vs Mac Danzig · Apr 12L
vs Leonardo Santos · Sep 14W
vs Rodrigo de Lima · Feb 15W
SUBvs Drew Dober · Jun 15L
vs Leandro Silva · Nov 15Kevin LeeL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Rafael Dos Anjos · May 19W
KOvs Gregor Gillespie · Nov 19L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Mar 20L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Aug 21L
SUBvs Rinat Fakhretdinov · Jul 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Efrain EscuderoMetricKevin Lee
2.92
Strikes / min
3.88
2.30
Strikes absorbed / min
3.60
63%
Strike defense
50%
1.31
TDs / 15 min
3.18
66%
Takedown defense
75%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.62evenly matched on net striking+0.28
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Efrain EscuderoKevin Lee
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Efrain Escudero(9 fights)Kevin Lee(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-63.463.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Efrain Escudero
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights9
Kevin Lee
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights19