Flyweight
3 Rounds
Kai Kara-France won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 1, 2018·Adelaide, South Australia, Australia, Australia
Model Prediction: Kai Kara-France wins(55.4%)
Actual result: Kai Kara-France wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kai Kara-France has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Kai Kara-France has 50pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Elias Garcia (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Elias Garcia
Red Corner
VS
Kai Kara-France
Blue Corner
+300
(25%)
Vegas Odds
-360
(78%)
33
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'4"
170.18 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Elias Garcia
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Mark De La Rosa · Jul 18Kai Kara-France
oldest →latest
W
vs Askar Askarov · Mar 22L
KOvs Brandon Moreno · Jul 22L
vs Amir Albazi · Jun 23W
KOvs Steve Erceg · Aug 24L
SUBvs Alexandre Pantoja · Jun 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Elias GarciaMetricKai Kara-France
1.59
Strikes / min
4.46
5.05
Strikes absorbed / min
3.24
50%
Strike defense
64%
0.68
TDs / 15 min
0.56
33%
Takedown defense
83%
1.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-3.46Δ 4.68 — meaningful gap+1.22
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Elias GarciaKai Kara-France
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Elias Garcia(2 fights)Kai Kara-France(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-16.816.8
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Elias Garcia
StanceSouthpaw
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights2
Kai Kara-France
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights11