Lightweight
3 Rounds
Elias Silverio won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 31, 2014·Sao Paulo, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Elias Silverio wins(65.5%)
Actual result: Elias Silverio wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Elias Silverio has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Elias Silverio
Red Corner
VS
Ernest Chavez
Blue Corner
-500
(83%)
Vegas Odds
+435
(19%)
39
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'8"
185.42 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Elias SilverioL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Joao Zeferino · Sep 13W
vs Isaac Vallie-Flagg · Jan 14L
KOvs Rashid Magomedov · Dec 14L
vs Shane Campbell · Aug 15Ernest Chavez
oldest →latest
W
vs Yosdenis Cedeno · Feb 14L
KOvs Zubaira Tukhugov · Oct 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Elias SilverioMetricErnest Chavez
3.67
Strikes / min
2.79
2.97
Strikes absorbed / min
3.89
51%
Strike defense
59%
1.62
TDs / 15 min
0.89
85%
Takedown defense
50%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.70Δ 1.80 — meaningful gap-1.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Elias SilverioErnest Chavez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Elias Silverio(5 fights)Ernest Chavez(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+17.7-17.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+38.0-38.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.7-1.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Elias Silverio
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights5
Ernest Chavez
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights3