Middleweight
3 Rounds
Elias Theodorou won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, February 19, 2017·Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada, Canada
Style matchupElias Theodorou: Well-roundedvsCezar Ferreira: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Cezar Ferreira wins(53.7%)
Actual result: Elias Theodorou wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Cezar Ferreira has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Cezar Ferreira (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Elias Theodorou
Red Corner
VS
Cezar Ferreira
Blue Corner
-105
(51%)
Vegas Odds
-115
(53%)
37
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'1"
190.5 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Elias Theodorou
oldest →latest
L
vs Brad Tavares · Jul 17W
vs Daniel Kelly · Nov 17W
vs Trevor Smith · May 18W
vs Eryk Anders · Dec 18L
vs Derek Brunson · May 19Cezar FerreiraL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Jack Hermansson · Nov 16W
vs Nate Marquardt · Nov 17W
SUBvs Karl Roberson · May 18L
vs Ian Heinisch · Nov 18L
vs Marvin Vettori · Jul 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Elias TheodorouMetricCezar Ferreira
4.19
Strikes / min
1.90
2.39
Strikes absorbed / min
2.44
53%
Strike defense
53%
1.27
TDs / 15 min
2.69
59%
Takedown defense
84%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.80Δ 2.34 — meaningful gap-0.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Elias TheodorouCezar Ferreira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Elias Theodorou(10 fights)Cezar Ferreira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-12.312.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+154.0-154.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.7-1.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Elias Theodorou
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11
Cezar Ferreira
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights15