Middleweight
3 Rounds
Elias Theodorou won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 18, 2017·Sydney, New South Wales, Australia, Australia
Style matchupElias Theodorou: Well-roundedvsDaniel Kelly: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Elias Theodorou wins(52.4%)
Actual result: Elias Theodorou wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daniel Kelly has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Daniel Kelly (53.5%).
- Elias Theodorou has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Elias Theodorou
Red Corner
VS
Daniel Kelly
Blue Corner
-310
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+255
(28%)
37
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'0"
190.5 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Elias Theodorou
oldest →latest
W
vs Cezar Ferreira · Feb 17L
vs Brad Tavares · Jul 17W
vs Trevor Smith · May 18W
vs Eryk Anders · Dec 18L
vs Derek Brunson · May 19Daniel KellyL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Antonio Carlos Junior · Mar 16W
vs Chris Camozzi · Nov 16W
vs Rashad Evans · Mar 17L
KOvs Derek Brunson · Jun 17L
KOvs Tom Breese · May 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Elias TheodorouMetricDaniel Kelly
4.19
Strikes / min
3.62
2.39
Strikes absorbed / min
4.64
53%
Strike defense
61%
1.27
TDs / 15 min
1.86
59%
Takedown defense
78%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.80Δ 2.82 — meaningful gap-1.02
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Elias TheodorouDaniel Kelly
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Elias Theodorou(10 fights)Daniel Kelly(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-13.113.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-27.027.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Elias Theodorou
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11
Daniel Kelly
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10