Middleweight
3 Rounds
Thiago Santos won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Thursday, December 10, 2015·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupElias Theodorou: Well-roundedvsThiago Santos: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Thiago Santos wins(50.1%)
Actual result: Thiago Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Elias Theodorou
Red Corner
VS
Thiago Santos
Blue Corner
-225
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+185
(35%)
37
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'2"
190.5 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Elias Theodorou
oldest →latest
L
vs Brad Tavares · Jul 17W
vs Daniel Kelly · Nov 17W
vs Trevor Smith · May 18W
vs Eryk Anders · Dec 18L
vs Derek Brunson · May 19Thiago SantosL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Nov 20L
vs Aleksandar Rakic · Mar 21W
vs Johnny Walker · Oct 21L
vs Magomed Ankalaev · Mar 22L
KOvs Jamahal Hill · Aug 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Elias TheodorouMetricThiago Santos
4.19
Strikes / min
3.72
2.39
Strikes absorbed / min
2.57
53%
Strike defense
53%
1.27
TDs / 15 min
0.88
59%
Takedown defense
65%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.80evenly matched on net striking+1.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Elias TheodorouThiago Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Elias Theodorou(10 fights)Thiago Santos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+33.0-33.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+105.0-105.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.3-2.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Elias Theodorou
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11
Thiago Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights24