Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Elijah Smith won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, August 9, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupElijah Smith: WrestlervsToshiomi Kazama: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Elijah Smith wins(76.0%)
Actual result: Elijah Smith wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Elijah Smith
Red Corner
VS
Toshiomi Kazama
Blue Corner
-820
(89%)
Vegas Odds
+570
(15%)
23
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'7"
180.34 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Elijah SmithW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Vince Morales · Feb 25W
SUBvs SuYoung You · Mar 26Toshiomi Kazama
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Rinya Nakamura · Feb 23L
KOvs Garrett Armfield · Aug 23W
SUBvs Charalampos Grigoriou · Aug 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Elijah SmithMetricToshiomi Kazama
4.18
Strikes / min
1.49
2.96
Strikes absorbed / min
4.56
46%
Strike defense
38%
2.98
TDs / 15 min
1.94
53%
Takedown defense
66%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.22Δ 4.29 — meaningful gap-3.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Elijah SmithToshiomi Kazama
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Elijah Smith(3 fights)Toshiomi Kazama(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+29.6-29.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-189.0189.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Elijah Smith
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights3
Toshiomi Kazama
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights4