Lightweight
3 Rounds
Esteban Ribovics won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 2, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupElves Brener: Pressure fightervsEsteban Ribovics: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Esteban Ribovics wins(57.7%)
Actual result: Esteban Ribovics wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Elves Brener
Red Corner
VS
Esteban Ribovics
Blue Corner
+215
(32%)
Vegas Odds
-260
(72%)
28
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'10"
182.88 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Elves BrenerL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Zubaira Tukhugov · Feb 23W
KOvs Guram Kutateladze · Jul 23W
KOvs Kaynan Kruschewsky · Nov 23L
vs Myktybek Orolbai · May 24L
KOvs Joel Alvarez · Aug 24Esteban Ribovics
oldest →latest
L
vs Loik Radzhabov · Mar 23W
vs Kamuela Kirk · Jul 23W
KOvs Terrance McKinney · May 24W
vs Daniel Zellhuber · Sep 24L
vs Nasrat Haqparast · Mar 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Elves BrenerMetricEsteban Ribovics
4.76
Strikes / min
7.27
5.86
Strikes absorbed / min
5.83
50%
Strike defense
54%
0.99
TDs / 15 min
0.35
76%
Takedown defense
66%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.10Δ 2.54 — meaningful gap+1.44
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Elves BrenerEsteban Ribovics
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Elves Brener(6 fights)Esteban Ribovics(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-9.49.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+210.0-210.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Elves Brener
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights6
Esteban Ribovics
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights6