Middleweight
3 Rounds
Anthony Smith won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, December 3, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Anthony Smith wins(58.7%)
Actual result: Anthony Smith wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Anthony Smith enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Elvis Mutapcic has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Anthony Smith has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Elvis Mutapcic
Red Corner
VS
Anthony Smith
Blue Corner
-105
(51%)
Vegas Odds
-115
(53%)
39
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'4"
182.88 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Elvis Mutapcic
oldest →latest
L
vs Francimar Barroso · Jan 16Anthony SmithL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Dec 23W
SUBvs Vitor Petrino · May 24L
vs Roman Dolidze · Jun 24L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Dec 24L
KOvs Zhang Mingyang · Apr 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Elvis MutapcicMetricAnthony Smith
3.41
Strikes / min
3.19
4.27
Strikes absorbed / min
5.04
38%
Strike defense
44%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.44
81%
Takedown defense
50%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.86evenly matched on net striking-1.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Elvis MutapcicAnthony Smith
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Elvis Mutapcic(2 fights)Anthony Smith(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+173.0-173.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Elvis Mutapcic
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights2
Anthony Smith
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights25