Featherweight
3 Rounds
Kevin Aguilar won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 30, 2019·Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA, USA
Style matchupEnrique Barzola: WrestlervsKevin Aguilar: Striker
Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Enrique Barzola wins(62.6%)
Actual result: Kevin Aguilar wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kevin Aguilar enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Enrique Barzola has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Stance matchup historically favors Enrique Barzola (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Enrique Barzola
Red Corner
VS
Kevin Aguilar
Blue Corner
-125
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
37
Age
37
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Enrique Barzola
oldest →latest
W
vs Gabriel Benitez · May 17W
vs Matt Bessette · Jan 18W
vs Brandon Davis · May 18W
vs Bobby Moffett · Aug 19L
vs Movsar Evloev · Oct 19Kevin AguilarL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Rick Glenn · Nov 18L
vs Dan Ige · Jun 19L
KOvs Zubaira Tukhugov · Feb 20L
vs Charles Rosa · Jun 20L
vs Tucker Lutz · May 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Enrique BarzolaMetricKevin Aguilar
3.91
Strikes / min
3.96
2.97
Strikes absorbed / min
4.81
68%
Strike defense
52%
4.20
TDs / 15 min
0.16
66%
Takedown defense
78%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.94Δ 1.79 — meaningful gap-0.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Enrique BarzolaKevin Aguilar
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Enrique Barzola(9 fights)Kevin Aguilar(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+44.0-44.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+195.0-195.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.6-2.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Enrique Barzola
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights9
Kevin Aguilar
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6