Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Jason Brilz won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, March 21, 2010·Broomfield, Colorado, USA, USA
Style matchupEric Schafer: Submission grapplervsJason Brilz: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Jason Brilz wins(56.9%)
Actual result: Jason Brilz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jason Brilz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Eric Schafer has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Eric Schafer has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Eric Schafer
Red Corner
VS
Jason Brilz
Blue Corner
+140
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-160
(62%)
48
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
5'11"
193.04 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Eric SchaferL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Aaron Simpson · Oct 11L
KOvs Jorge Rivera · Jan 12Jason BrilzL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Rogerio Nogueira · May 10L
KOvs Vladimir Matyushenko · Apr 11L
KOvs Ryan Bader · Nov 11Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Eric SchaferMetricJason Brilz
1.89
Strikes / min
2.66
3.38
Strikes absorbed / min
1.78
56%
Strike defense
65%
1.81
TDs / 15 min
2.37
50%
Takedown defense
25%
1.80
Sub atts / 15 min
1.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.49Δ 2.37 — meaningful gap+0.88
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Eric SchaferJason Brilz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Eric Schafer(3 fights)Jason Brilz(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Eric Schafer
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights3
Jason Brilz
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4