Middleweight
3 Rounds
Eric Spicely won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, January 28, 2017·Denver, Colorado, USA, USA
Style matchupEric Spicely: Submission grapplervsAlessio Di Chirico: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Eric Spicely wins(63.7%)
Actual result: Eric Spicely wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Eric Spicely enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Alessio Di Chirico is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Eric Spicely has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Tale of the Tape
Eric Spicely
Red Corner
VS
Alessio Di Chirico
Blue Corner
-110
(52%)
Vegas Odds
-110
(52%)
39
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'0"
185.42 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Eric SpicelyL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Sam Alvey · Jul 16W
SUBvs Thiago Santos · Sep 16L
KOvs Gerald Meerschaert · Dec 17L
KOvs Darren Stewart · May 18L
vs Deron Winn · Jun 19Alessio Di ChiricoL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Makhmud Muradov · Sep 19L
vs Zak Cummings · Aug 20W
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Jan 21L
KOvs Abdul Razak Alhassan · Aug 21L
KOvs Roman Kopylov · Sep 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Eric SpicelyMetricAlessio Di Chirico
3.71
Strikes / min
3.32
5.72
Strikes absorbed / min
3.44
55%
Strike defense
61%
1.31
TDs / 15 min
1.46
75%
Takedown defense
83%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.01Δ 1.89 — meaningful gap-0.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Eric SpicelyAlessio Di Chirico
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Eric Spicely(6 fights)Alessio Di Chirico(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+3.0-3.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-28.028.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.61.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Eric Spicely
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6
Alessio Di Chirico
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights11