Welterweight
3 Rounds
Randy Brown won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 17, 2016·Hidalgo, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupErick Montano: WrestlervsRandy Brown: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Erick Montano wins(61.3%)
Actual result: Randy Brown wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Erick Montano has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Randy Brown has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Erick Montano
Red Corner
VS
Randy Brown
Blue Corner
+425
(19%)
Vegas Odds
-550
(85%)
40
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'3"
185.42 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Erick Montano
oldest →latest
W
vs Enrique Marin · Nov 15L
KOvs Max Griffin · Nov 16Randy Brown
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Feb 24W
vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Jun 24L
vs Bryan Battle · Dec 24W
KOvs Nicolas Dalby · Apr 25L
KOvs Gabriel Bonfim · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Erick MontanoMetricRandy Brown
2.79
Strikes / min
4.39
2.06
Strikes absorbed / min
3.35
64%
Strike defense
53%
2.29
TDs / 15 min
0.71
66%
Takedown defense
74%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.73evenly matched on net striking+1.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Erick MontanoRandy Brown
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Erick Montano(3 fights)Randy Brown(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+19.4-19.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+147.0-147.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.61.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Erick Montano
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights3
Randy Brown
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights21