Welterweight
3 Rounds
Carlo Prater won · DQ R1
UFC Event·Saturday, January 14, 2012·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Erick Silva wins(63.2%)
Actual result: Carlo Prater wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Erick Silva has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Carlo Prater (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Erick Silva
Red Corner
VS
Carlo Prater
Blue Corner
-530
(84%)
Vegas Odds
+455
(18%)
41
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'0"
Height
5'11"
187.96 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Erick SilvaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Neil Magny · Aug 15L
KOvs Nordine Taleb · Mar 16W
SUBvs Luan Chagas · Sep 16L
KOvs Yancy Medeiros · Jun 17L
vs Jordan Mein · Dec 17Carlo PraterL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs TJ Grant · May 12L
vs Marcus LeVesseur · Oct 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Erick SilvaMetricCarlo Prater
2.50
Strikes / min
2.03
4.18
Strikes absorbed / min
4.07
49%
Strike defense
35%
0.85
TDs / 15 min
0.43
56%
Takedown defense
57%
1.40
Sub atts / 15 min
1.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.68evenly matched on net striking-2.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Erick SilvaCarlo Prater
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Erick Silva(10 fights)Carlo Prater(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.5-18.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Erick Silva
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights15
Carlo Prater
StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights3