Welterweight
3 Rounds
Erick Silva won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, February 15, 2014·Jaragua do Sul, Santa Catarina, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Erick Silva wins(75.4%)
Actual result: Erick Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Erick Silva has 40pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Erick Silva has 56pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Takenori Sato (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Erick Silva
Red Corner
VS
Takenori Sato
Blue Corner
-1100
(92%)
Vegas Odds
+900
(10%)
41
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
5'10"
187.96 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Erick SilvaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Neil Magny · Aug 15L
KOvs Nordine Taleb · Mar 16W
SUBvs Luan Chagas · Sep 16L
KOvs Yancy Medeiros · Jun 17L
vs Jordan Mein · Dec 17Takenori Sato
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Hyun Gyu Lim · Sep 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Erick SilvaMetricTakenori Sato
2.50
Strikes / min
0.46
4.18
Strikes absorbed / min
12.92
49%
Strike defense
9%
0.85
TDs / 15 min
0.00
56%
Takedown defense
0%
1.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.68Δ 10.78 — meaningful gap-12.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Erick SilvaTakenori Sato
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Erick Silva(10 fights)Takenori Sato(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.6-1.6
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.449.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.949.9
Erick Silva
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights15
Takenori Sato
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach—
Fights2