Lightweight
3 Rounds
Bobby Green won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 27, 2018·Charlotte, North Carolina, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Erik Koch wins(60.1%)
Actual result: Bobby Green wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Erik Koch (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Erik Koch
Red Corner
VS
Bobby Green
Blue Corner
+155
(39%)
Vegas Odds
-175
(64%)
37
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Erik Koch
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Rafaello Oliveira · Feb 14L
KOvs Daron Cruickshank · May 14W
SUBvs Shane Campbell · May 16L
vs Clay Guida · Jun 17W
vs Kyle Stewart · Jul 19Bobby GreenL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Rafael Fiziev · Aug 21W
KOvs Al Iaquinta · Nov 21W
vs Nasrat Haqparast · Feb 22L
KOvs Islam Makhachev · Feb 22L
KOvs Drew Dober · Dec 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Erik KochMetricBobby Green
2.33
Strikes / min
—
2.82
Strikes absorbed / min
—
47%
Strike defense
—
1.02
TDs / 15 min
—
81%
Takedown defense
—
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
—
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Erik KochBobby Green
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Erik Koch(10 fights)Bobby Green(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-22.622.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-71.071.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.61.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Erik Koch
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights10
Bobby Green
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights9