Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ricardo Lamas has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Erik Koch has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Erik Koch (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Erik Koch
oldest →L
KOvs Daron Cruickshank · May 14W
SUBvs Shane Campbell · May 16W
vs Kyle Stewart · Jul 19 Ricardo Lamas
oldest →L
KOvs Josh Emmett · Dec 17L
vs Mirsad Bektic · Jun 18W
KOvs Darren Elkins · Nov 18L
KOvs Calvin Kattar · Jun 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Erik KochMetricRicardo Lamas
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.49evenly matched on net striking+0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Erik KochRicardo Lamas
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Erik Koch(10 fights)Ricardo Lamas(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +279.0|Blue -279.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Erik KochTargetRicardo Lamas
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Ricardo Lamas edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:08
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:13Control
Round 2Ricardo Lamas edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:12
21Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:03Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
