Featherweight
3 Rounds
Ricardo Lamas won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, January 26, 2013·Chicago, Illinois, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Erik Koch wins(59.7%)
Actual result: Ricardo Lamas wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ricardo Lamas has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Erik Koch has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Erik Koch (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Erik Koch
Red Corner
VS
Ricardo Lamas
Blue Corner
-225
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+205
(33%)
37
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'8"
180.34 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Erik Koch
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Daron Cruickshank · May 14W
SUBvs Shane Campbell · May 16L
vs Clay Guida · Jun 17L
vs Bobby Green · Jan 18W
vs Kyle Stewart · Jul 19Ricardo Lamas
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Josh Emmett · Dec 17L
vs Mirsad Bektic · Jun 18W
KOvs Darren Elkins · Nov 18L
KOvs Calvin Kattar · Jun 19W
vs Bill Algeo · Aug 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Erik KochMetricRicardo Lamas
2.33
Strikes / min
3.13
2.82
Strikes absorbed / min
2.87
47%
Strike defense
57%
1.02
TDs / 15 min
1.84
81%
Takedown defense
46%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.49evenly matched on net striking+0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Erik KochRicardo Lamas
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Erik Koch(10 fights)Ricardo Lamas(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-15.215.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+279.0-279.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Erik Koch
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights10
Ricardo Lamas
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights17