Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Bryan Caraway won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, June 7, 2014·Albuquerque, New Mexico, USA, USA
Style matchupErik Perez: WrestlervsBryan Caraway: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Erik Perez wins(66.3%)
Actual result: Bryan Caraway wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Erik Perez enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Bryan Caraway threatens submissions; Erik Perez has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Erik Perez has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Erik Perez
Red Corner
VS
Bryan Caraway
Blue Corner
-120
(55%)
Vegas Odds
+110
(48%)
36
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'8"
172.72 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Erik PerezW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Takeya Mizugaki · Aug 13W
vs Edwin Figueroa · Nov 13W
vs Taylor Lapilus · Nov 15W
vs Francisco Rivera · Jul 16W
vs Felipe Arantes · Nov 16Bryan CarawayL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Raphael Assuncao · Oct 14W
vs Eddie Wineland · Jul 15W
vs Aljamain Sterling · May 16L
vs Cody Stamann · Mar 18L
KOvs Pedro Munhoz · Nov 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Erik PerezMetricBryan Caraway
3.16
Strikes / min
2.53
2.09
Strikes absorbed / min
3.61
66%
Strike defense
54%
3.16
TDs / 15 min
2.57
69%
Takedown defense
80%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.07Δ 2.15 — meaningful gap-1.08
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Erik PerezBryan Caraway
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Erik Perez(9 fights)Bryan Caraway(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+11.8-11.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-203.0203.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Erik Perez
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights9
Bryan Caraway
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights10