Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Erik Perez won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 5, 2016·Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico, Mexico
Model Prediction: Erik Perez wins(61.0%)
Actual result: Erik Perez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Felipe Arantes threatens submissions; Erik Perez has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Erik Perez has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Felipe Arantes has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Erik Perez
Red Corner
VS
Felipe Arantes
Blue Corner
-240
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+200
(33%)
36
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'8"
172.72 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Erik PerezW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Takeya Mizugaki · Aug 13W
vs Edwin Figueroa · Nov 13L
SUBvs Bryan Caraway · Jun 14W
vs Taylor Lapilus · Nov 15W
vs Francisco Rivera · Jul 16Felipe ArantesL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Andre Fili · Oct 14W
SUBvs Yves Jabouin · Aug 15W
SUBvs Jerrod Sanders · Jul 16L
vs Josh Emmett · Oct 17L
KOvs Song Yadong · Jun 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Erik PerezMetricFelipe Arantes
3.16
Strikes / min
2.37
2.09
Strikes absorbed / min
2.66
66%
Strike defense
64%
3.16
TDs / 15 min
0.93
69%
Takedown defense
41%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.07Δ 1.36 — meaningful gap-0.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Erik PerezFelipe Arantes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Erik Perez(9 fights)Felipe Arantes(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+25.9-25.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-23.023.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Erik Perez
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights9
Felipe Arantes
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights11