Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Erin Blanchfield won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, November 2, 2024·Edmonton, Alberta, Canada, Canada
Style matchupErin Blanchfield: Pressure fightervsRose Namajunas: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Erin Blanchfield wins(58.0%)
Actual result: Erin Blanchfield wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Erin Blanchfield has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Erin Blanchfield
Red Corner
VS
Rose Namajunas
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
27
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'5"
167.64 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Erin Blanchfield
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Molly McCann · Nov 22W
SUBvs Jessica Andrade · Feb 23W
vs Taila Santos · Aug 23L
vs Manon Fiorot · Mar 24W
SUBvs Tracy Cortez · Nov 25Rose Namajunas
oldest →latest
L
vs Manon Fiorot · Sep 23W
vs Amanda Ribas · Mar 24W
vs Tracy Cortez · Jul 24W
vs Miranda Maverick · Jun 25L
vs Natalia Silva · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Erin BlanchfieldMetricRose Namajunas
5.24
Strikes / min
3.50
4.25
Strikes absorbed / min
3.38
58%
Strike defense
63%
1.96
TDs / 15 min
1.47
78%
Takedown defense
62%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.99evenly matched on net striking+0.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Erin BlanchfieldRose Namajunas
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Erin Blanchfield(9 fights)Rose Namajunas(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-19.619.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+105.0-105.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Erin Blanchfield
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights9
Rose Namajunas
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights19