Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Erin Blanchfield won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, November 15, 2025·New York City, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupErin Blanchfield: Pressure fightervsTracy Cortez: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Erin Blanchfield wins(58.0%)
Actual result: Erin Blanchfield wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Erin Blanchfield threatens submissions; Tracy Cortez has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Erin Blanchfield has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Erin Blanchfield
Red Corner
VS
Tracy Cortez
Blue Corner
-330
(77%)
Vegas Odds
+265
(27%)
27
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'5"
167.64 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Erin Blanchfield
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Molly McCann · Nov 22W
SUBvs Jessica Andrade · Feb 23W
vs Taila Santos · Aug 23L
vs Manon Fiorot · Mar 24W
vs Rose Namajunas · Nov 24Tracy Cortez
oldest →latest
W
vs Justine Kish · Apr 21W
vs Melissa Gatto · May 22W
vs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Sep 23L
vs Rose Namajunas · Jul 24W
vs Viviane Araujo · Jun 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Erin BlanchfieldMetricTracy Cortez
5.24
Strikes / min
3.86
4.25
Strikes absorbed / min
3.01
58%
Strike defense
57%
1.96
TDs / 15 min
2.15
78%
Takedown defense
59%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.99evenly matched on net striking+0.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Erin BlanchfieldTracy Cortez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Erin Blanchfield(9 fights)Tracy Cortez(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+22.4-22.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+238.0-238.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Erin Blanchfield
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights9
Tracy Cortez
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights8