Middleweight
3 Rounds
Christian Leroy Duncan won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, August 9, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupEryk Anders: Well-roundedvsChristian Leroy Duncan: Striker
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Christian Leroy Duncan wins(53.8%)
Actual result: Christian Leroy Duncan wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Eryk Anders enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Christian Leroy Duncan enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Eryk Anders has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Christian Leroy Duncan (54.1%).
- Christian Leroy Duncan has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Eryk Anders
Red Corner
VS
Christian Leroy Duncan
Blue Corner
+380
(21%)
Vegas Odds
-490
(83%)
39
Age
30
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
6'1"
Height
6'2"
190.5 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Eryk AndersW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Kyle Daukaus · Dec 22L
vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Jun 23W
vs Jamie Pickett · Mar 24W
KOvs Chris Weidman · Dec 24W
vs Brad Tavares · Mar 26Christian Leroy DuncanW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Claudio Ribeiro · Mar 24L
vs Gregory Rodrigues · Jul 24W
vs Andrey Pulyaev · Mar 25W
KOvs Marco Tulio · Nov 25W
vs Roman Dolidze · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Eryk AndersMetricChristian Leroy Duncan
3.44
Strikes / min
4.43
4.03
Strikes absorbed / min
2.59
50%
Strike defense
52%
1.83
TDs / 15 min
0.33
80%
Takedown defense
63%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.59Δ 2.43 — meaningful gap+1.84
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Eryk AndersChristian Leroy Duncan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Eryk Anders(10 fights)Christian Leroy Duncan(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-12.412.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+105.0-105.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Eryk Anders
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights19
Christian Leroy Duncan
StanceSwitch
Height74.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights9