Lightweight
3 Rounds
Evan Dunham won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 3, 2015·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupEvan Dunham: Submission grapplervsRodrigo Damm: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Evan Dunham wins(64.4%)
Actual result: Evan Dunham wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Evan Dunham enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Evan Dunham (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Evan Dunham
Red Corner
VS
Rodrigo Damm
Blue Corner
-705
(88%)
Vegas Odds
+570
(15%)
44
Age
46
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Evan DunhamL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Joe Lauzon · Dec 15W
vs Rick Glenn · Sep 16L
KOvs Olivier Aubin-Mercier · Apr 18L
KOvs Francisco Trinaldo · Sep 18L
SUBvs Herbert Burns · Jun 20Rodrigo DammL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Antonio Carvalho · Nov 12W
vs Mizuto Hirota · Jun 13W
vs Ivan Jorge · Feb 14L
vs Rashid Magomedov · May 14L
KOvs Al Iaquinta · Sep 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Evan DunhamMetricRodrigo Damm
5.33
Strikes / min
3.50
3.54
Strikes absorbed / min
5.61
61%
Strike defense
57%
1.82
TDs / 15 min
0.44
79%
Takedown defense
80%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.79Δ 3.90 — meaningful gap-2.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Evan DunhamRodrigo Damm
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Evan Dunham(10 fights)Rodrigo Damm(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-16.616.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+51.0-51.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Evan Dunham
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights17
Rodrigo Damm
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights7