Welterweight
3 Rounds
Evan Elder won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, July 13, 2024·Denver, Colorado, USA, USA
Style matchupEvan Elder: Pressure fightervsDarrius Flowers: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Evan Elder wins(61.4%)
Actual result: Evan Elder wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Evan Elder has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Darrius Flowers has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Evan Elder (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Evan Elder
Red Corner
VS
Darrius Flowers
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
29
Age
31
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'9"
182.88 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Evan ElderW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Preston Parsons · Apr 22L
KOvs Nazim Sadykhov · Feb 23W
vs Genaro Valdez · Jul 23W
vs Gauge Young · Apr 25Darrius FlowersL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Jul 23L
vs Michael Johnson · Feb 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Evan ElderMetricDarrius Flowers
5.66
Strikes / min
3.13
4.94
Strikes absorbed / min
5.35
57%
Strike defense
42%
0.48
TDs / 15 min
1.65
40%
Takedown defense
66%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.72Δ 2.94 — meaningful gap-2.22
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Evan ElderDarrius Flowers
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Evan Elder(5 fights)Darrius Flowers(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.2-15.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+210.0-210.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Evan Elder
StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights5
Darrius Flowers
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4