Lightweight
3 Rounds
Evan Elder won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 26, 2025·Kansas City, Missouri, USA, USA
Style matchupEvan Elder: Pressure fightervsGauge Young: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Evan Elder wins(52.0%)
Actual result: Evan Elder wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gauge Young has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Evan Elder (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Evan Elder
Red Corner
VS
Gauge Young
Blue Corner
-215
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+180
(36%)
29
Age
25
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'9"
182.88 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Evan ElderW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Preston Parsons · Apr 22L
KOvs Nazim Sadykhov · Feb 23W
vs Genaro Valdez · Jul 23W
SUBvs Darrius Flowers · Jul 24Gauge Young
oldest →latest
W
vs Maheshate · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Evan ElderMetricGauge Young
5.66
Strikes / min
6.32
4.94
Strikes absorbed / min
5.12
57%
Strike defense
49%
0.48
TDs / 15 min
0.75
40%
Takedown defense
76%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.72evenly matched on net striking+1.20
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Evan ElderGauge Young
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Evan Elder(5 fights)Gauge Young(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-0.60.6
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
Evan Elder
StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights5
Gauge Young
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights2