Grant DawsonvsRafa Garcia

UFC Event · Saturday, October 12, 2024 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Grant Dawson wins(65.6%)

Actual result: Grant Dawson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Grant Dawson

Red Corner

Rafa Garcia

Blue Corner

-380

(79%)

Vegas Odds

+300

(25%)

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'7"

182.88 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

3.1

Sig. Strikes

4.0

3.6

Takedowns

3.4

1.2

Sub Attempts

0.3

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+96.5-96.5

RedLayoff (days)Blue

-413.0413.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

-0.10.1

RedStriker ScoreBlue

+0.3-0.3

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

+0.3-0.3

Grant Dawson

StanceSwitch

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights13

Rafa Garcia

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights10