Kevin AguilarvsTucker Lutz

UFC Event · Saturday, May 15, 2021 · Houston, Texas, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Tucker Lutz wins(54.5%)

Actual result: Tucker Lutz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Kevin Aguilar

Red Corner

Tucker Lutz

Blue Corner

+120

(45%)

Vegas Odds

-140

(58%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'8"

185.42 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

4.0

Sig. Strikes

5.1

0.2

Takedowns

2.3

0.0

Sub Attempts

0.3

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

-15.815.8

RedForm ScoreBlue

-0.60.6

RedStriker ScoreBlue

-48.648.6

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-49.849.8

Kevin Aguilar

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights6

Tucker Lutz

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights4