Matthew SemelsbergervsAJ Fletcher

UFC Event · Saturday, March 12, 2022 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Matthew Semelsberger wins(55.3%)

Actual result: Matthew Semelsberger wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Matthew Semelsberger

Red Corner

AJ Fletcher

Blue Corner

-195

(66%)

Vegas Odds

+165

(38%)

Age

Switch

Stance

Switch

6'1"

Height

5'10"

190.5 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

3.8

Sig. Strikes

3.4

1.0

Takedowns

1.5

0.4

Sub Attempts

0.9

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+33.3-33.3

RedForm ScoreBlue

+0.4-0.4

RedStriker ScoreBlue

-49.549.5

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-49.549.5

Matthew Semelsberger

StanceSwitch

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights11

AJ Fletcher

StanceSwitch

Height70.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights4