Julian ErosavsFernando Padilla

UFC Event · Saturday, April 29, 2023 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Julian Erosa wins(70.5%)

Actual result: Fernando Padilla wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Incorrect

Tale of the Tape

Julian Erosa

Red Corner

Fernando Padilla

Blue Corner

-158

(61%)

Vegas Odds

+134

(43%)

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'1"

187.96 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

6.2

Sig. Strikes

6.5

1.7

Takedowns

0.0

0.8

Sub Attempts

0.8

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+12.6-12.6

RedForm ScoreBlue

+0.1-0.1

RedStriker ScoreBlue

-48.848.8

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-49.549.5

Julian Erosa

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights18

Fernando Padilla

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights4