Rose NamajunasvsCarla Esparza

UFC Event · Saturday, May 7, 2022 · Phoenix, Arizona, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Rose Namajunas wins(57.3%)

Actual result: Carla Esparza wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Incorrect

Tale of the Tape

Rose Namajunas

Red Corner

Carla Esparza

Blue Corner

-235

(70%)

Vegas Odds

+190

(34%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'1"

165.1 cm

Reach

160.02 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

3.7

Sig. Strikes

2.2

1.6

Takedowns

3.2

0.4

Sub Attempts

0.3

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+30.7-30.7

RedLayoff (days)Blue

-168.0168.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

-0.10.1

RedStriker ScoreBlue

+0.4-0.4

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-0.00.0

Rose Namajunas

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights19

Carla Esparza

StanceOrthodox

Height61.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights15