Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Result: Red · SUB R3
TA
AC
Talita AlencarvsAriane Carnelossi
UFC Event · Saturday, November 1, 2025 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Talita Alencar wins(58.0%)
Actual result: Talita Alencar wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Talita Alencar
Red Corner
VS
Ariane Carnelossi
Blue Corner
-225
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+188
(35%)
35
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'1"
Height
5'2"
147.32 cm
Reach
154.94 cm
Career Averages (per fight)
2.9
Sig. Strikes
2.6
3.0
Takedowns
1.1
0.6
Sub Attempts
0.2
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-322.0322.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Talita Alencar
StanceOrthodox
Height61.0"
Reach58.0"
Fights4
Ariane Carnelossi
StanceOrthodox
Height62.0"
Reach61.0"
Fights6