Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Fabio Maldonado won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, March 23, 2014·Natal, Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupFabio Maldonado: Pressure fightervsGian Villante: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Fabio Maldonado wins(63.3%)
Actual result: Fabio Maldonado wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gian Villante enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Gian Villante has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Fabio Maldonado
Red Corner
VS
Gian Villante
Blue Corner
+260
(28%)
Vegas Odds
-290
(74%)
46
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'3"
190.5 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Fabio MaldonadoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Joey Beltran · Oct 13L
KOvs Stipe Miocic · May 14W
KOvs Hans Stringer · Oct 14L
vs Rampage Jackson · Apr 15L
vs Corey Anderson · Nov 15Gian VillanteL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Ed Herman · Oct 18L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Feb 19L
SUBvs Maurice Greene · Jun 20L
vs Jake Collier · Dec 20L
KOvs Chris Barnett · Nov 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Fabio MaldonadoMetricGian Villante
5.29
Strikes / min
4.38
4.31
Strikes absorbed / min
5.47
53%
Strike defense
55%
0.44
TDs / 15 min
0.45
61%
Takedown defense
83%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.98Δ 2.07 — meaningful gap-1.09
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Fabio MaldonadoGian Villante
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Fabio Maldonado(10 fights)Gian Villante(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.6-1.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+38.0-38.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+3.2-3.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Fabio Maldonado
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11
Gian Villante
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights18