Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Fabio Maldonado won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Wednesday, October 9, 2013·Barueri, Sao Paulo, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupFabio Maldonado: Pressure fightervsJoey Beltran: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Fabio Maldonado wins(63.2%)
Actual result: Fabio Maldonado wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joey Beltran enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Fabio Maldonado
Red Corner
VS
Joey Beltran
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+145
(41%)
46
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'1"
190.5 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Fabio MaldonadoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Gian Villante · Mar 14L
KOvs Stipe Miocic · May 14W
KOvs Hans Stringer · Oct 14L
vs Rampage Jackson · Apr 15L
vs Corey Anderson · Nov 15Joey BeltranL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Pat Barry · Jan 11W
KOvs Aaron Rosa · Jun 11L
vs Stipe Miocic · Oct 11L
KOvs Lavar Johnson · Jan 12L
vs James Te Huna · Jul 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Fabio MaldonadoMetricJoey Beltran
5.29
Strikes / min
4.92
4.31
Strikes absorbed / min
5.27
53%
Strike defense
54%
0.44
TDs / 15 min
0.48
61%
Takedown defense
75%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.98Δ 1.33 — meaningful gap-0.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Fabio MaldonadoJoey Beltran
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Fabio Maldonado(10 fights)Joey Beltran(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+28.1-28.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-311.0311.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Fabio Maldonado
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11
Joey Beltran
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights8