Lightweight
3 Rounds
Fabricio Camoes won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Friday, January 20, 2012·Nashville, Tennessee, USA, USA
Style matchupFabricio Camoes: WrestlervsTommy Hayden: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Fabricio Camoes wins(64.6%)
Actual result: Fabricio Camoes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Fabricio Camoes enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Fabricio Camoes threatens submissions; Tommy Hayden has lost 100% of fights by sub.
- Tommy Hayden has 46pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tommy Hayden (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Fabricio Camoes
Red Corner
VS
Tommy Hayden
Blue Corner
-310
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+280
(26%)
47
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'9"
180.34 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Fabricio CamoesL4 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Kurt Pellegrino · Mar 10L
vs Melvin Guillard · Jul 12L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Dec 13L
SUBvs Anthony Rocco Martin · Oct 14Tommy Hayden
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Dennis Bermudez · Aug 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Fabricio CamoesMetricTommy Hayden
1.29
Strikes / min
1.48
1.85
Strikes absorbed / min
2.05
61%
Strike defense
55%
2.34
TDs / 15 min
3.42
20%
Takedown defense
66%
1.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.56evenly matched on net striking-0.57
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Fabricio CamoesTommy Hayden
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Fabricio Camoes(5 fights)Tommy Hayden(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-18.518.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.648.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-48.848.8
Fabricio Camoes
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights5
Tommy Hayden
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach—
Fights2