Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Fabricio Werdum won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, November 18, 2017·Sydney, New South Wales, Australia, Australia
Style matchupFabricio Werdum: Submission grapplervsMarcin Tybura: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.
Model Prediction: Fabricio Werdum wins(55.2%)
Actual result: Fabricio Werdum wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marcin Tybura has 39pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Fabricio Werdum
Red Corner
VS
Marcin Tybura
Blue Corner
-300
(75%)
Vegas Odds
+250
(29%)
48
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'3"
195.58 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Fabricio Werdum
oldest →latest
L
vs Alistair Overeem · Jul 17W
SUBvs Walt Harris · Oct 17L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Mar 18L
vs Aleksei Oleinik · May 20W
SUBvs Alexander Gustafsson · Jul 20Marcin TyburaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Serghei Spivac · Aug 24W
KOvs Jhonata Diniz · Nov 24W
vs Mick Parkin · Mar 25L
KOvs Ante Delija · Sep 25L
vs Tyrell Fortune · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Fabricio WerdumMetricMarcin Tybura
3.59
Strikes / min
3.56
2.64
Strikes absorbed / min
3.26
55%
Strike defense
55%
1.75
TDs / 15 min
1.30
31%
Takedown defense
70%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.95evenly matched on net striking+0.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Fabricio WerdumMarcin Tybura
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Fabricio Werdum(10 fights)Marcin Tybura(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+49.8-49.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-112.0112.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Fabricio Werdum
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights14
Marcin Tybura
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights24