Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Fabricio Werdum won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, June 23, 2012·Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupFabricio Werdum: Submission grapplervsMike Russow: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Fabricio Werdum wins(69.4%)
Actual result: Fabricio Werdum wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mike Russow is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Fabricio Werdum has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Fabricio Werdum has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Fabricio Werdum has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Fabricio Werdum
Red Corner
VS
Mike Russow
Blue Corner
-475
(83%)
Vegas Odds
+420
(19%)
48
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'1"
195.58 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Fabricio Werdum
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Walt Harris · Oct 17W
vs Marcin Tybura · Nov 17L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Mar 18L
vs Aleksei Oleinik · May 20W
SUBvs Alexander Gustafsson · Jul 20Mike Russow
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Todd Duffee · May 10W
KOvs Jon Madsen · Mar 11W
vs Jon Olav Einemo · Jan 12L
KOvs Shawn Jordan · Jan 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Fabricio WerdumMetricMike Russow
3.59
Strikes / min
1.55
2.64
Strikes absorbed / min
2.90
55%
Strike defense
59%
1.75
TDs / 15 min
4.66
31%
Takedown defense
0%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.95Δ 2.30 — meaningful gap-1.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Fabricio WerdumMike Russow
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Fabricio Werdum(10 fights)Mike Russow(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-26.426.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-7.07.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
Fabricio Werdum
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights14
Mike Russow
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights5