Heavyweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Stipe Miocic won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, May 14, 2016·Curitiba, Parana, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupFabricio Werdum: Submission grapplervsStipe Miocic: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Fabricio Werdum wins(59.2%)
Actual result: Stipe Miocic wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stipe Miocic is a KO finisher (64% of wins). Fabricio Werdum has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Stipe Miocic has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Fabricio Werdum
Red Corner
VS
Stipe Miocic
Blue Corner
-185
(65%)
Vegas Odds
+160
(38%)
48
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'4"
195.58 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Fabricio Werdum
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Walt Harris · Oct 17W
vs Marcin Tybura · Nov 17L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Mar 18L
vs Aleksei Oleinik · May 20W
SUBvs Alexander Gustafsson · Jul 20Stipe MiocicL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Daniel Cormier · Jul 18W
KOvs Daniel Cormier · Aug 19W
vs Daniel Cormier · Aug 20L
KOvs Francis Ngannou · Mar 21L
KOvs Jon Jones · Nov 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Fabricio WerdumMetricStipe Miocic
3.59
Strikes / min
4.67
2.64
Strikes absorbed / min
4.01
55%
Strike defense
52%
1.75
TDs / 15 min
1.74
31%
Takedown defense
65%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.95evenly matched on net striking+0.66
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Fabricio WerdumStipe Miocic
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Fabricio Werdum(10 fights)Stipe Miocic(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+5.5-5.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+203.0-203.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Fabricio Werdum
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights14
Stipe Miocic
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights19