Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Fabricio Werdum won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, October 7, 2017·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupFabricio Werdum: Submission grapplervsWalt Harris: Striker
Striker must keep this standing. Grappler wins big if it hits the floor.
Model Prediction: Fabricio Werdum wins(51.8%)
Actual result: Fabricio Werdum wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Walt Harris enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Walt Harris is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Fabricio Werdum has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Walt Harris has 39pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Stance matchup historically favors Walt Harris (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Fabricio Werdum
Red Corner
VS
Walt Harris
Blue Corner
-210
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+175
(36%)
48
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'4"
Height
6'5"
195.58 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Fabricio Werdum
oldest →latest
L
vs Alistair Overeem · Jul 17W
vs Marcin Tybura · Nov 17L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Mar 18L
vs Aleksei Oleinik · May 20W
SUBvs Alexander Gustafsson · Jul 20Walt HarrisL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Serghei Spivac · May 19W
KOvs Aleksei Oleinik · Jul 19L
KOvs Alistair Overeem · May 20L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Oct 20L
KOvs Marcin Tybura · Jun 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Fabricio WerdumMetricWalt Harris
3.59
Strikes / min
3.05
2.64
Strikes absorbed / min
3.33
55%
Strike defense
54%
1.75
TDs / 15 min
0.29
31%
Takedown defense
70%
1.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.95Δ 1.23 — meaningful gap-0.28
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Fabricio WerdumWalt Harris
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Fabricio Werdum(10 fights)Walt Harris(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+73.6-73.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-21.021.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.6-1.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Fabricio Werdum
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights14
Walt Harris
StanceSouthpaw
Height77.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights15