Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Lightweight
3 Rounds
Upcoming
Elo1528
Elo1526
Axel Sola

Fares ZiamvsAxel SolaUFC Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · Saturday, September 5, 2026Paris, France

Fight begins in
Style matchupFares Ziam: Well-roundedvsAxel Sola: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

The model's pick for this fight is locked

Fares Ziam vs Axel Sola is on the undercard. Headliner picks are free — unlock the full card with a $9 monthly Fight Detective membership.

Unlock every pick — $9/month

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Axel Sola threatens submissions; Fares Ziam has lost 33% of fights by sub.
  • Fares Ziam has 71pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Fares Ziam
Red Corner
VS
Axel Sola
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1528
Elo
1526
29
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'0"
190.5 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Fares Ziam
oldest →
W
vs Claudio Puelles · Feb 24
W
KOvs Matt Frevola · Sep 24
W
vs Mike Davis · Feb 25
W
KOvs Nazim Sadykhov · Dec 25
L
DECvs Tom Nolan · Jun 26
latest
Axel Sola
oldest →
W
KOvs Rhys McKee · Sep 25
L
vs Mason Jones · Mar 26
W
SUBvs Ismael Bonfim · Jul 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Fares ZiamMetricAxel Sola
2.87
Strikes / min
4.07
1.53
Strikes absorbed / min
5.29
65%
Strike defense
61%
1.73
TDs / 15 min
2.22
71%
Takedown defense
0%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.34Δ 2.56 — meaningful gap-1.22
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801500152015401560← oldermost recent →
Fares Ziam(10 fights)Axel Sola(3 fights)

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: Submission.

KO / TKO47%

Historical win share: Axel Sola earned 50% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission53%

Historical win share: Axel Sola earned 50% of wins by submission.

Decision0%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Fares Ziam

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11

Axel Sola

StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights3