Lightweight
3 Rounds
Fares Ziam won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 28, 2024·Paris, Ile-de-France, France, France
Style matchupFares Ziam: Well-roundedvsMatt Frevola: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Fares Ziam wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Fares Ziam wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Fares Ziam enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Fares Ziam has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Fares Ziam has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Fares Ziam
Red Corner
VS
Matt Frevola
Blue Corner
-125
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
29
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'9"
190.5 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Fares ZiamW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Michal Figlak · Sep 22W
vs Jai Herbert · Jul 23W
vs Claudio Puelles · Feb 24W
vs Mike Davis · Feb 25W
KOvs Nazim Sadykhov · Dec 25Matt FrevolaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Genaro Valdez · Jan 22W
KOvs Ottman Azaitar · Nov 22W
KOvs Drew Dober · May 23L
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Nov 23L
vs Kyle Nelson · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Fares ZiamMetricMatt Frevola
2.87
Strikes / min
3.30
1.53
Strikes absorbed / min
3.76
65%
Strike defense
56%
1.73
TDs / 15 min
2.34
71%
Takedown defense
40%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.34Δ 1.80 — meaningful gap-0.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Fares ZiamMatt Frevola
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Fares Ziam(10 fights)Matt Frevola(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+11.6-11.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-105.0105.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Fares Ziam
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights10
Matt Frevola
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights10