Tom AspinallvsSerghei Spivac

UFC Event · Saturday, September 4, 2021 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Tom Aspinall wins(64.8%)

Actual result: Tom Aspinall wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Tom Aspinall

Red Corner

Serghei Spivac

Blue Corner

-240

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+195

(34%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'5"

Height

6'3"

198.12 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

7.2

Sig. Strikes

3.7

2.7

Takedowns

2.7

1.4

Sub Attempts

0.2

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

+11.4-11.4

RedLayoff (days)Blue

+119.0-119.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

+0.2-0.2

RedStriker ScoreBlue

+0.1-0.1

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-0.30.3

Tom Aspinall

StanceOrthodox

Height77.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights10

Serghei Spivac

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights15